Weekly Bulletin on Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
             Highlights on 20 - 26.01.2014,
               Forecast on 27.01 - 03.02.2014,
          Carrington Rotation 2146 (15.39.01.2014)

 SUNSPOT-FORMING ACTIVITY OF THE SUN REMAINED AT THE AVERAGE LEVEL
AND ONLY 24.01  NOTED THE HIGH LEVEL.  WEEKLY,  THE AVERAGE OF SUN-
SPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM WAS MADE W = 077+13/-12. ON 
THE VISIBLE SOLAR DISK CONSTANTLY OBSERVED 7-10 SMALL QUITE SUNSPOT 
GROUPS. 

NEXT WEEK IS EXPECTED THE AVERAGE AND THE HIGH LEVEL OF SUNSPOT-FOR-
MING ACTIVITY. ESTIMATED MOST LIKELY WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF RELATI-
VE SUNSPOT NUMBER  IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM FOR THE NEXT WEEK IS 
EXPECTED W=070+20/-20.

FLARE ACTIVITY WAS AT THE LOW LEVEL IN ALL DAYS.  DURING THE REPORT-
ING PERIOD WERE 2 EJECTA OF SOLAR FILAMENT, NON GEOEFFCTIVE. BY SOHO 
AND STEREO CORONOGRAPHS DATA THERE WERE OBSERVED 40 CME FROM WHICH 2 
WERE "PARTIAL HALO III" TYPE AND 4 - "PARTIAL HALO II".
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FLARES  to   tm    te   c/p local. Class  E(1-8A)  AR   RII/IV  CME
                                  X / opt. J/m-2
 DSF     to      te   c/p local.  l in deg.   Fl   AR        CME
20.01 >1027   <2249   S46E58L223        19
24.01  0147    0214   S11E54L232        12
c/p local. - central part localization 
--------------------------------------------------------------------

NEXT WEEK THE LEVEL OF THE FLARE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED AT THE LOW AND
AVERAGE LEVELS. 

ON THE VISIBLE SOLAR DISK THE FOLLOWING CORONAL HOLES WERE OBSERVED:
--------------------------------------------------------------------
  sign N end   Å end   S end   W end     EE    R  G   Observatories
óH  -  N50L2274 N45L264 N18L324 N30L325 21.01  3      SDO, SOHO....
R - solar rotations; KP - KIT PEAK solar observatory;
EE-date of possible geomag. disturbance in the Earth's environment.
G - geoeffectivity in last solar rotation/
---------------------------------------------------------------------

AFTER 18.01/1830 UT THE EARTH IS IN "+" SECTOR OF INTERPLANETARY MAG-
NETIC FIELDS. 11.01 SIGN OF INTERPLANETARY MAGNETIC FIELD VARIES. THE 
FOLLOWING SECTORAL BOUNDARY + /-  THE EARTH SHOULD PASS 06.02.

JANUARY   20     21     22     23     24     25     26       JANUARY
Wus      131    141    144    121    150    102    109
F10.7    137    146    143    136    136    133    138      
èbcg    ÷4.6   ÷5.0   ÷4.8   ÷3.6   ÷3.8     -    B7.9       GOES
Sp       850    820    670    560    680    520    460  mvh   
N         2      2      1                    1            
IMF       +      +      +      +      +      +      +        áóå
Å>2   1.1å+7 2.9å+6 1.6å+6 2.5å+6 4.3å+6     -  1.5E+6       GOES
Ie>2                                                    pfu  GOES 
Ap        2       8     10     6      5      5      6    nT  áÒ
Dst                                                      nT  KéOTO
Amsc      5      10     11     8      7      11     11   nT  éúíéòáî
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Å>2 - a fluency in (electrons/cm2-day-sr) with E>2 MeV.
Ie>2 - the maximum intensity of a flux of electrons in geostationary 
orbits in days according to GOES 15 in (electrons/cm2-s-sr) for events
> 1000 p.f.u.

THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSTATIONARY ORBIT VERY HIGH 
LEVEL NOT OBSERVED.

THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSTATIONARY ORBIT VERY HIGH 
LEVEL NOT EXPECTED.

GEOMAGNETIC CONDITION VARIES FROM UNSETTLED TO QUITE. 

NEXT WEEK THE GEOMAGNETIC CONDITIONS AS A WHOLE ARE EXPECTED UNSETTLED 
AND QUIET. 

HIGHLIGHT AND FORECAST COMPOSED FROM DATA
OF NOAA SWPC            http://www.sec.noaa.gov,
OF THE SOLAR INFLUENCES DATA ANALYSIS CENTER - 
SIDC, BELGIUM           http://sidc.oma.be/index.php3, 
OF THE IZMIRAN, RUSSIA  http://www.izmiran.ru