Weekly Bulletin on Solar and Geomagnetic Activity Highlights on 13 - 19.07.2020, Forecast on 20 - 27.07.2020, Carrington Rotation 2232, 2233 (18,08.06; 15.28.07.2020) Earth out of ecliptic (-1.1 - +1.5) deg. (S25 - N25 is zone of geoeffectiveness) THE SUNSPOT-FORMING ACTIVITY REMAINED ON VERY LOW LEVEL. THE SUN's VISIBLE DISK WAS SPOTLESS ALL DAYS (152 SPOTLESS DAYS AT 2020). ESTIMATED, MOST LIKELY WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF THE RELA- TIVE SUNSPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM (old) FOR PERI- OD W= 0 (Wn= 0). NEXT WEEK THE LEVEL OF SUNSPOT ACTIVITY WAS ON VERY LOW LEVEL. LIKELY WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF THE RELATIVE SUNSPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM (old) FOR NEXT WEEK IS W=010+10/-10. FLARE ACTIVITY WAS AT VERY LOW LEVEL. 3 SOLAR FLARE OF VERY LOW X-RAY CLASS "A", 3 SOLAR FILAMENT EJECTION (DSF) AND 4 CORONAL MASS EJECTION (16 AND 17.07) HAVE BEEN OBSERVED. ------------------------------------------------------------------- FLARES >M1 X-RAY CLASSES to tm te local. Class E(1-8A) AR RII/IV CME X-ray/Ïp J/m-2 DSF to te localization l deg. Fl AR CME/to 13.07 0710 1228 N50W37L330 19 13.07 >0924 >2338 N49W17L000 20 18.07 >0435 >1702 N25E50L357 7 -------------------------------------------------------------------- NEXT WEEK THE FLARE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED AT VERY LOW LEVEL. ON THE VISIBLE SOLAR DISK THE FOLLOWING CORONAL HOLES WERE OBSERVED: --------------------------------------------------------------------- sign N end E end S end W end Sch EE R G Spacecraft * - low geoeffectivity, the substorms with duration <6 h. only. Sch - CH area in % solar hemisphere near the central meridian on https://www.solarmonitor.org/; n/d - no data; R - solar rotations; EE-date of possible geomagnetic disturbance in the Earth's environment. G(0-5)-geoeffectivity in last solar rotation on the middle latitudes. A-active geomagnetic condition. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- FROM 2.07/1120 UT, THE EARTH IS IN THE "+" SECTOR OF THE INTERPLANE- TARY MAGNETIC FIELD. THE FOLLOWING THE NEXT SECTOR BOUNDARY "+/-" IT CAN EXPECT 23.07. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- JULY 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 JULY Wus 000 000 000 000 012 000 000 F10.7 068 069 069 069 068 068 069 èbcg >A1.0 A1.2 >A1.0 >A1.0 >A1.0 >A1.0 >A1.0 GOES Sp 000 000 000 000 010 000 000 msh N IMF + + + + + + + DSCOVR Å>2 1.5E+6 1.9å+6 2.7E+6 3.5E+6 4.0E+6 5.3E+6 6.2å+6 GOES Ie>2 177 222 186 186 273 252 324 pfu Ap 6 11 5 4 4 3 4 nô Dst nô KIOTO Amsc 7 11 6 5 4 4 6 nô IZMIRAN ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Å>2 - Daily Electron Fluency e/(cm2-ster-day) with E>2 MeV. Ie>2 - the maximum intensity of electron flux in geostationary or- bits in days according to GOES-15 in (electrons/cm2.s.sr) for events > 1000 pfu. THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT NOT OB- OBSERVED. NEXT WEEK THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS OR- BIT IS NOT EXPECTED. THE GEOMAGNETIC CONDITION REMAINED QUITE AND UNSETTLED ALL PERIOD. NEXT WEEK THE MOST PROBABLY QUIET AND UNSETTLED GEOMAGNETIC CONDI- TION WILL OBSERVED. HIGHLIGHT AND FORECAST COMPOSED FROM DATA: NOAA SWPC, BOULDER, USA http://www.swpc.noaa.gov, THE SOLAR INFLUENCES DATA ANALYSIS CENTRE, SIDC, BRUSSELS, BELGIUM http://sidc.oma.be/index.php3, THE IZMIRAN, MOSCOW, TROITSK, RUSSIA http://www.izmiran.ru V. Ishkov