25 ãéëì óïìîåþîïê áëôé÷îïóôé, ÷åô÷ø òïóôá: æáúá íáëóéíõíá ïâúïò óïóôïñîéñ óïìîåþîïê áëôé÷îïóôé, çåïüææåëôé÷îùè ñ÷ìåîéê é éè ÷ïúäåêóô÷éê îá ïëïìïúåíîïå ëïóíéþåóëïå ðòïóôòáîóô÷ï îá ðåòéïä 04.11.2024 - 10.11.2024 Ç. é ðòïçîïú îá 11.11.2024 - 18.11.2024 Ç. ëüòòéîçôïîï÷óëéå ïâïòïôù 2290(16,88.10.2024) - 2291(13,18.11.2024) úåíìñ ÷îå ðìïóëïóôé óïìîåþîïçï üë÷áôïòá (BÏ: (+4.1 - +3.3) ÇÒÁÄ) (ÚÏÎÁ ÇÅÏÜÆÆÅËÔÉ×ÎÏÓÔÉ S26 - N34) ðñôîïïâòáúï÷áôåìøîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø óïìîãá âùìá îá óòåäîåí é ÷ùóïëïí õòï÷îñè. òáóþ³ôîïå óòåäîåå úîáþåîéå íåöäõîáòïäîïçï ïôîïóéôåìøîïçï þéóìá óïìîåþîùè ðñôåî úá ðåòéïä óïóôá÷éìï W= 160+31/-39 (WÓ=107+20/-26). îá ÷éäéíïí äéóëå óïìîãá îáâìàäáìéóø 14 çòõðð ðñôåî (AR13879 - âïìøûïê ðìïýáäé, AR13883, AR13886, AR13889 - óòåäîåê), éú îéè 10 îáèïäéìéóø ÷ àöîïí ðïìõûáòéé. îá óìåäõàýåê îåäåìå ðñôîïïâòáúï÷áôåìøîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø ïöéäáåôóñ îá óòåäîåí é, ÷ïúíïöîï, ÷ùóïëïí õòï÷îñè. óòåäîåå ïöéäáåíïå úîáþåîéå þéóìá óïìîåþîùè ðñôåî úá ðåòéïä W=100+40/-40. ÷ ôåþåîéå îåäåìé ÷óðùûåþîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø âùìá îá ÷ùóïëïí é óòåäîåí õòï÷îñè. úá ðåòéïä îáâìàäáìéóø 1 ÷óðùûëá òåîôçåîï÷óëïçï ëìáóóá X, 43 ÷óðùûëé ëìáóóá M, éú îéè 4 âïìøûéè (>M5), 72 ÷óðùûëé ëìáóóá C, 1 ÷ùâòïó óïìîåþîïçï ÷ïìïëîá é 43 ëïòïîáìøîùè ÷ùâòïóá ÷åýåóô÷á*, éú ëïôïòùè 3 âùìé ôéðá II (ÕÇÌÏ×ÁÑ ÛÉÒÉÎÁ 90-180 ÇÒÁÄ) ëÏÌÉÞÅÓÔ×Ï óíå ÍÏÖÅÔ ÂÙÔØ ÂÏÌØÛÅ, ÔÁË ËÁË ÐÒÏÇÒÁÍÍÁ CACTUS ÉÍÅÌÁ ÐÅÒÅÒÙ×Ù × ÒÁÂÏÔÅ. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ÷óðùûëé âáììï÷ ïô í1 (É ÏÔÄÅÌØÎÙÅ ÚÎÁÞÉÍÙÅ ×ÓÐÙÛÅÞÎÙÅ ÓÏÂÙÔÉÑ ÍÅÎØÛÅÇÏ ÂÁÌÌÁ): to tm te ËÏÏÒÄÉÎÁÔÙ ÂÁÌÌ å(1-8A) AO RII/IV CME/to ÒÅÎÔ/ÏÐ J/m-2 km/s 20241104 0052 0057 0102 S06E44L075 M1.5 6.6E-03 13883 20241104 0105 0140 0203 S06E41L075 M3.8 8.7E-02 13883 II/1|307 CME/0148 IV/1 20241104 0338 0345 0353 S05E71L047 M1.1 8.5E-03 13886 20241104 0406 0415 0423 S07E44L075 M1.0 8.1E-03 13883 20241104 0431 0434 0441 N17W11L137 M1.4/SF 3.4E-03 13878 20241104 0702 0708 0724 S07E43L075 M1.3/SN 1.1E-02 13883 20241104 0829 0840 0902 S07E42L075 M1.2/SF 9.9E-03 13883 20241104 1007 1017>1041 S07E41L075 M1.6/SN 3.7E-03 13883 20241104 1405 1428 1450 S07E39L075 M1.1 2.2E-02 13883 20241104 1500 1508 1512 S07E35L075 M1.3 2.5E-03 13883 20241104 1530 1533 1535 S06E38L075 M3.7 13883 20241104 1535 1538 1545 S07E38L075 M5.5 3.4E-02 13883 CME/1624 20241105 0635 0654 0708 S06E89 M2.6 3.2E-02 20241105 0911 0923>1008 S06E27L075 M1.0/SF 1.8E-02 13883 20241105 1328 1339 1356 S06E26L075 M1.2 1.5E-02 13883 20241105 1358 1419 1427 S06E25L075 M2.9/2N 4.0E-03 13883 20241105 1505 1526 1544 S15W88L185 M4.1 6.2E-02 13872 II/1|167 CME 20241105 1550 1555 1614 S03E56L047 M1.8 13886 20241106 0228 0238 0246 S06E15L075 M1.1 1.0E-02 13883 20241106 0302 0309 0314 S04E13L075 M1.2 7.3E-03 13883 20241106 0736 0804 0838 S06E13L075 M2.9/SN 4.1E-03 13883 20241106 0848 0850 0901 N17W59L151 M5.8/SF 1.6E-02 13887 20241106 1156 1204 1223 S06E15L075 M1.5/SF 1.0E-02 13883 20241106 1256 1302 1311 S09E89L005 M1.2 9.9E-03 13889 20241106 1324 1340 1346 S08E14L075 X2.3 8.0E-02 13883 II/2|205 20241106 1427 1438 1445 S09E89L005 M5.3 4.9E-02 13889 20241106 1710 1718 1723 S10E89L005 M1.2 9.3E-03 13889 20241106 1853 1859 1913 S10E89L005 M1.1 1.3E-02 13889 20241106 2035 2042 2052 S10E89L005 M1.3 1.2E-02 13889 20241106 2243 2305 2310 S10E89L005 M1.1 13889 20241106 2310 2316 2321 N16W67L173 M1.1 5.3E-03 13878 20241106^2342 0004 0016 S10E89L005 M1.6 2.7E-02 13889 20241106^2342 0004 0016 M1.6 13883 20241107 0115 0127 0139 S09E89L005 M2.5/SF 2.4E-02 13889 20241107 0352 0420 0449 S06E02L075 M2.5/1N 3.4E-03 13883 20241107 0720 0726 0740 S08E05L075 M1.3/1F 4.4E-03 13883 20241107 0736 0743 0746 S10E85L005 M1.6 7.2E-03 13889 20241107 0746 0754 0801 S12E88L005 M2.7 2.2E-02 13889 20241107 1153 1202>1216 S08E79L005 M1.4/1F 1.1E-02 13889 20241107 1437 1506 1522 S06W00L075 M2.3/1F 1.9E-03 13883 20241108 0253 0301 0317 S06W05L075 M1.5/1N 1.2E-02 13883 20241109 2044 2050 2109 S08E36L005 M1.2/SN 4.2E-03 13889 20241110 0004 0015 0042 S07E33L005 M4.2/1B 2.5E-02 13889 20241110 1151 1206>1318 S09E26L005 M9.4/2B 1.7E-03 13889 II/3|928 20241110 2009 2021 2141 S11E34L005 M4.9/2N 4.0E-02 13889 ^ - ÏÄÎÏ×ÒÅÍÅÎÎÙÅ ×ÓÐÙÛËÉ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ÷ùâòïóù óïìîåþîùè ÷ïìïëïî: Bó÷* to te localization l × ÇÒÁÄ. Fl AO CMEÔÉÐ/to 20241107 0504 0549 S25W60L139 0.34 CME/0736 * - ×ÙÂÒÏÓÙ ÓÏÌÎÅÞÎÙÈ ×ÏÌÏËÏÎ (DSF, EPL) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- îá óìåäõàýåê îåäåìå ÷óðùûåþîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø ïöéäáåôóñ ÷ äéáðáúïîå ïô îéúëïçï äï ÷ùóïëïçï õòï÷îñ. îá ÷éäéíïí äéóëå óïìîãá îáâìàäáìéóø çåïüææåëôé÷îùå ëïòïîáìøîùå äùòù ó ëïïòäéîáôáíé: ÚÎÁË N ËÏÎÅà å ËÏÎÅà S ËÏÎÅà W ËÏÎÅà Sch ïëð R G KA CH + N47L169 N35L159 N19L161 N35L187 2.5% 03-04.11 1 - SDO, HINODE CH + N10L158 N06L155 S11L166 S06L168 1.0% 04-05.11 2 3 SDO, HINODE CH - N05L106 N05L100 N01L103 N04L108 0.2% 08-09.11 1 - SDO, HINODE CH + S18L083 S60L023 S70L037 S41L099 4.8% 09-10.11 5 0 SDO, HINODE CH*- N83L062 N66L002 N42L083 N73L112 3.3% 09-10.11 7 3 SDO, HINODE CH + N43L031 N39L321 N04L037 N12L052 7.7% 12-13.11 2 1 SDO, HINODE * - ÎÉÚËÁÑ ÇÅÏÜÆÆÅËÔÉ×ÎÏÓÔØ, ×ÏÚÍÏÖÎÙ ÔÏÌØËÏ ÓÕÂÂÕÒÉ Ó ÄÌÉÔ. <6 Þ. Sch - ÐÌÏÝÁÄØ ëä × % ÐÌÏÝÁÄÉ ×ÉÄÉÍÏÊ ÐÏÌÕÓÆÅÒÙ ×ÂÌÉÚÉ ÃÅÎÔÒÁÌØÎÏÇÏ ÍÅÒÉÄÉÁÎÁ ÐÏ https://www.solarmonitor.org/; n/d - ÎÅÔ ÄÁÎÎÙÈ; ïëð - ÄÁÔÁ ×ÅÒÏÑÔÎÏÇÏ ÇÅÏÍÁÇÎÉÔÎÏÇÏ ×ÏÚÍÕÝÅÎÉÑ × ïëð; R - ×ÏÚÒÁÓÔ × ÏÂÏÒÏÔÁÈ óÏÌÎÃÁ; G(0-5)- ÇÅÏÍÁÇÎÉÔÎÁÑ ×ÏÚÍÕÝ£ÎÎÏÓÔØ ÎÁ ÐÒÏÛÌÏÍ ÏÂÏÒÏÔÅ (ÓÒÅÄÎÉÅ ÛÉÒÏÔÙ); A - ×ÏÚÍÕ- Ý£ÎÎÁÑ ÇÅÏÍÁÇÎÉÔÎÁÑ ÏÂÓÔÁÎÏ×ËÁ. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- 07.11/2335 UT úåíìñ ðåòåûìá ÷ "-" óåëôïò íåöðìáîåôîïçï íáçîéôîïçï ðïìñ, 10.11/1200 UT ÷åòîõìáóø ÷ "+" óåëôïò. îá óìåäõàýåê îåäåìå ðòïèïöäåîéñ óåëôïòîïê çòáîéãù "+/-" îå ïöéäáåôóñ. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- îïñâòø 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 îïñâòø Wus 191 149 155 164 167 176 121 F10.7 242 245 260 239 231 221 231 Xbcg C3.6 C4.0 C4.6 C3.0 C2.2 C2.3 C1.9 GOES Sp 1810 1450 1650 1900 1680 1630 1420 msh N 0 0 2 1 0 1 0 IMF sign + + + + - +/- +/- DSCOVR,ACE e>2 1.6E+6 1.8E+6 1.9E+6 1.5E+7 1.0E+6 1.2E+6 1.5E+6 GOES Ie>2 118 124 116 1292 101 129 144 pfu Ap 14 10 10 9 10 32 24 nT Dst -31 -26 -96 -60 nT KIOTO Amsc 10 10 12 14 13 24 32 nT IZMIRAN ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- IÅ>2 - ÐÉËÏ×ÙÊ ÐÏÔÏË ÜÌÅËÔÒÏÎÏ× Ó å>2 MeV × pfu (e/(cm2-sr-s)) × ÔÅÞÅÎÉÅ ÓÕÔÏË (ÓÏÂÙÔÉÑ Ó ÐÏÔÏËÏÍ >=1000 pfu); e>2 - ÎÁËÏÐÌÅÎÎÙÊ ÚÁ ÓÕÔËÉ ÐÏÔÏË ÜÌÅËÔÒÏÎÏ× ÎÁ ÇÅÏÓÔÁÃÉÏÎÁÒÎÙÈ ÏÒÂÉÔÁÈ ÐÏ ÄÁÎÎÙÍ ëá GOES × e/(cm2-sr-day). Pr>10 Mev: to 24.10/0850, tmax 28.10/1350, Ipmax 363 pfu, te 04.11/1540 ðï äáîîùí GOES-16 ó 07.11/1535 UT ðï 07.11/1725 UT îáâìàäáìóñ ÷ùóïëéê õòï÷åîø ðïôïëá ÷ùóïëïüîåòçéþîùè üìåëôòïîï÷ ó å>2 íÜ÷ (>1000 pfu) ó íáëóéíáìøîùí úîáþåîéåí 1292 pfu. îá óìåäõàýåê îåäåìå îá çåïóéîèòïîîïê ïòâéôå ÷ïúíïöîï ðòå÷ùûåîéå õòï÷îñ 1000 pfu ðïôïëïí üìåëôòïîï÷ ó å>2 MeV. 3-4 îïñâòñ ÷ òåúõìøôáôå óï÷íåóôîïçï ÷ïúäåêóô÷éñ óíå ïô ÷óðùûëé í2.4 ïô 31.10/1254 é ÷ùóïëïóëïòïóôîïçï ðïôïëá ïô ðïìïöéôåìøîïê ëïòïîáìøîïê äùòù ÷ óå÷åòîïí ðïìõûáòéé ðòïéúïûìá óõââõòñ (G0*, ÄÌÉÔ=9 Þ) ðï äáîîùí ãåîôòá ÷ âïõìäåòå é (G1, ÄÌÉÔ=9 Þ) ðï äáîîùí ãåîôòá ÷ ðïôóäáíå é éúíéòáî. ÷ï ÷ôïòïê ðïìï÷éîå äîñ 7 îïñâòñ ÷ òåúõìøôáôå ÷ïúäåêóô÷éñ óíå ïô ÷óðùûëé í3.8 ïô 4.11/0140 ðòïéúïûìá óõââõòñ (G1, ÄÌÉÔ=6 Þ) ðï äáîîùí éúíéòáî. 8-10 îïñâòñ ÷ òåúõìøôáôå óï÷íåóôîïçï ÷ïúäåêóô÷éñ óíå ïô ÷óðùûëé í5.5 ïô 04.11/1538 é ÷ùóïëïóëïòïóôîùè ðïôïëï÷ ïô 2 ëïòïîáìøîùè äùò ïôòéãáôåìøîïê ðïìñòîïóôé ÷ óå÷åòîïí ðïìõûáòéé îáâìàäáìáóø íáìáñ íáçîéôîáñ âõòñ (G1, Ams=31, ÄÌÉÔ=36 Þ) ðï äáîîùí ãåîôòá ÷ âïõìäåòå, (G1, Ams=29, ÄÌÉÔ=36 Þ) ðï äáîîùí ãåîôòá ÷ ðïôóäáíå, óõââõòñ(G1, ÄÌÉÔ=3 Þ) é íáìáñ íáçîéôîáñ âõòñ (G1, Ams=32, ÄÌÉÔ=12 Þ) ðï äáîîùí éúíéòáî. ÷ï ÷ôïòïê ðïìï÷éîå äîñ 10 îïñâòñ ÷ òåúõìøôáôå ÷ïúäåêóô÷éñ ÷ùóïëïóëïòïóôîïçï ðïôïëá ïô ëïòïîáìøîïê äùòù ðïìïöéôåìøîïê ðïìñòîïóôé ÷ àöîïí ðïìõûáòéé ðòïéúïûìá óõââõòñ (G1, ÄÌÉÔ=9 Þ) ðï äáîîùí ãåîôòá ÷ âïõìäåòå, (G2, ÄÌÉÔ=9 Þ) ðï äáîîùí ãåîôòá ÷ ðïôó- äáíå é (G3, ÄÌÉÔ=9 Þ) ðï äáîîùí éúíéòáî. * G0 - ÐÉËÏ×ÏÅ ÚÎÁÞÅÎÉÅ ÇÅÏÍÁÇÎÉÔÎÏÊ ÁËÔÉ×ÎÏÓÔÉ, ÓÏÏÔ×ÅÔÓÔ×ÕÀÝÅÅ Kp=4. 11 îïñâòñ ÷ïúíïöîá ðï÷ùûåîîáñ çåïíáçîéôîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø ÷ òåúõìøôáôå ðòïäïìöáàýåçïóñ ÷ïúäåêóô÷éñ ÷ùóïëïóëïòïóôîïçï ðïôïëá ïô ðïìïöéôåìøîïê ëïòïîáìøîïê äùòù ÷ àöîïí ðïìõ- ûáòéé. 12-14 îïñâòñ ïöéäáåôóñ ðï÷ùûåîéå çåïíáçîéôîïê áëôé÷îïóôé ÷óìåäóô÷éå óï÷íåóôîïçï ÷ïúäåêóô÷éñ óíå ïô ÷ùâòïóá ÷ïìïëîá 07.11/0736 é ÷ùóïëïóëïòïóôîïçï ðïôïëá ïô îéúëï- ûéòïôîïê ðïìïöéôåìøîïê ëïòïîáìøîïê äùòù ÷ óå÷åòîïí ðïìõûáòéé. ÷ ïóôáìøîïå ÷òåíñ çåïíáçîéôîáñ ïâóôáîï÷ëá ïöéäáåôóñ ïô óðïëïêîïê äï óìáâï÷ïúíõýåîîïê. ïâúïò é ðòïçîïú óïóôá÷ìåî ðï íáôåòéáìáí óìõöâù óïìîãá âïõìäåò, óûá http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ ãåîôòá óâïòá é ïâòáâïôëé óïìîåþîùè éîäåëóï÷, âòàóóåìø, âåìøçéñ http://sidc.oma.be/, éúíéòáî (ôòïéãë, òïóóéñ) http://www.izmiran.ru. ÷.î.éÛËÏ×, î.é.ìÅÂÅÄÅ×, í.î.ìÅÂÅÄÅ×